November 13, 2016

If you like daytime temps in the low-to-mid 80s and nights in the 50s then November in the Valley of the Sun is for you. I’ll be cleaning the house to get ready for the holidays. In the meantime, one picture says it all, doesn’t it?

…and it’s only going to get redder after the final total of voting fraud is revealed and those votes taken away. And there are going to be a lot of them. Can’t wait to see whenever the esteemed Michael Barone provides his own final numbers. It will be rather incredible, I believe.

I guess I can say I share with all the libs, anarchists, and progressives (can you even separate them anymore?) protesting out there a sense of shock that Trump really did it. You think of all the forces that were marshalled against him, and Hillary Clinton still couldn’t beat him.

Remember that the Democrats are still in the early stages of denial – once the shock wears off the anger against the Clintons will reveal itself big-time. Not that there will be a whole lot that can be done: between eight years of Obama steering the party to the left and leaving the white working-class behind and picking the lousy candidate that Hillary ended up being, there’s not much meat left on the Democratic Party bone anymore. Oh, they’ll still have places like California and Massachusetts to call their own, but only the most rose-colored optimist wouldn’t see the country drifting red.

Still, I’d be lying if I didn’t think there was a sense of serendipity involved here. Frankly, I still can’t believe the Democrats not only elected that crone Debbie Wasserman-Schultz to lead their party but push everyone (deserving or undeserving) aside in favor of the likes of Hillary. I still remember walking off the golf course last fall with my Goodboys mates and smiling internally upon hearing the news that Joe Biden wasn’t going to pursue the Democratic nomination. My feeling was then – as it is now – that no Republican nominee (Trump included) could have beaten Biden. And I’m not alone in that assessment.

Filed in: Uncategorized by The Great White Shank at 01:17 | Comments (2)
November 12, 2016

Did you get your information from the cable news talking heads or the traditional mainstream media this past election cycle? You know, from the likes of, oh, CNN, NPR, MSNBC, FOX News, the Washington Post, the Boston Globe, or New York Times? This, ladies and gentlemen, is for you.

Or this.
Or this.

Talk about a bunch of clueless, out of touch elitists. And Trump was the one who was unhinged??

Will Rahn of CBS News nails it:

The mood in the Washington press corps is bleak, and deservedly so.

It shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone that, with a few exceptions, we were all tacitly or explicitly #WithHer, which has led to a certain anguish in the face of Donald Trump’s victory. More than that and more importantly, we also missed the story, after having spent months mocking the people who had a better sense of what was going on.

This is all symptomatic of modern journalism’s great moral and intellectual failing: its unbearable smugness. Had Hillary Clinton won, there’s be a winking “we did it” feeling in the press, a sense that we were brave and called Trump a liar and saved the republic.

So much for that. The audience for our glib analysis and contempt for much of the electorate, it turned out, was rather limited. This was particularly true when it came to voters, the ones who turned out by the millions to deliver not only a rebuke to the political system but also the people who cover it. Trump knew what he was doing when he invited his crowds to jeer and hiss the reporters covering him. They hate us, and have for some time.

And can you blame them? Journalists love mocking Trump supporters. We insult their appearances. We dismiss them as racists and sexists.

…Out on the road, we forget to ask the right questions. We can’t even imagine the right question. We go into assignments too certain that what we find will serve to justify our biases. The public’s estimation of the press declines even further — fewer than one-in-three Americans trust the press, per Gallup — which starts the cycle anew.

There’s a place for opinionated journalism; in fact, it’s vital. But our causal, profession-wide smugness and protestations of superiority are making us unable to do it well.

As they say, read the whole thing.

Not that I expect the mainstream media to change their condescending, elitist, chardonnay-swilling smugness anytime soon. And come a Trump administration you can bet there will be a hundred or more Woodward and Bernstein wannabes seeking to take down the Trump White House before it’s even allowed to get airborne.

But that’s what they do. they are, after all, liberals and progressives. Meaning, of course, they are enemies of the state and fascists looking to extinguish free speech couched in some fuzzy desire for so-called “acceptance”, “tolerance”, and “diversity”. Remember, these are the very same folks who deliberately sought out a small-town Indiana pizza shop to pick out the most ordinary Christians they could find in order to persecute them in a national forum as being homophobic for simply being true to their religious beliefs.

But this is what passes for the mainstream media these days; they are nothing but a bunch of vile snakes that are no friend to conservatives and the rights of Americans to free speech and expression. Only the latest case in point: the fact that the media absolutely creamed Trump for not saying explicitly that he would accept the results of the voting on November 8. Now you have had four nights of protests (some violent) by liberals and progressives unwilling to accept the will of the people on Tuesday. And while the media is more than happy to cover it (ecstatic, I would argue) you don’t hear a whole lot of criticism and pleading to have them stop.

Of course not.

Looking back, it truly is amazing just how much abuse was tossed at Donald Trump 24/7. It was everywhere. And yet, now that Trump, even with all the negative coverage and the massive voter fraud that will be uncovered in the months ahead (I guarantee it will be shown that without the fraud Trump would have won Virginia, Nevada, and New Hampshire, perhaps even Minnesota and New Mexico) Trump stands triumphant, and the cupcakes, morons, moonbats, and get-a-lifers filling the streets in protest recall a memorable Old Testament passage from Isaiah 47:7-15. When reading the below, remember the links above (especially those when it comes to that bit about the astrologers):

You said, ‘I am forever—
the eternal queen!’
But you did not consider these things
or reflect on what might happen.

“Now then, listen, you lover of pleasure,
lounging in your security
and saying to yourself,
‘I am, and there is none besides me.
I will never be a widow
or suffer the loss of children.’

Both of these will overtake you
in a moment, on a single day:
loss of children and widowhood.
They will come upon you in full measure,
in spite of your many sorceries
and all your potent spells.

You have trusted in your wickedness
and have said, ‘No one sees me.’
Your wisdom and knowledge mislead you
when you say to yourself,
‘I am, and there is none besides me.’

Disaster will come upon you,
and you will not know how to conjure it away.
A calamity will fall upon you
that you cannot ward off with a ransom;
a catastrophe you cannot foresee
will suddenly come upon you.

“Keep on, then, with your magic spells
and with your many sorceries,
which you have labored at since childhood.
Perhaps you will succeed,
perhaps you will cause terror.

All the counsel you have received has only worn you out!
Let your astrologers come forward,
those stargazers who make predictions month by month,
let them save you from what is coming upon you.

Surely they are like stubble;
the fire will burn them up.
They cannot even save themselves
from the power of the flame.
These are not coals for warmth;
this is not a fire to sit by.

That is all they are to you—
these you have dealt with
and labored with since childhood.
All of them go on in their error;
there is not one that can save you.

Sundance over at the Conservative Treehouse nails in more contemporary terms.

THE MEDIA DIDN’T GET IT WRONG – The pollsters did not work from the wrong data set; the media pollsters, consultants and professional political class did not work from the wrong assumptions, or use the incorrect baselines….. THEY LIED.

The professional media polling agents knew exactly what the truth was.

They lied and manipulated their data in a concerted effort to intentionally falsify reality. There should be no doubt, EVER, in the mind of any political observer as to what took place within the expressed and broadcasted polling which fueled over two years of broadcast news. The media intentionally lied.

They knew the truth. The same tools available to us, and to those who were ridiculed for truth-telling, were available to them and many more. They did not get it wrong. They chose to lie to you the American electorate. So lets name the liars so their names can forever be dispatched from the land where credibility is of value:

* FOX News, pollster Daron Shaw, Shaw Research and associates and the Wall Street Journal. Rupert Murdoch.
* NBC News, pollster Mark Murray, Hart Research and Associates.
* Monmouth University, pollster Patrick Murray.
* CBS News and New York Times writ large.
* ABC News and The Washington Post.
* CNN News Network and ORC Polling.
* Rasmussen and Reuters Polling Operations.
* [Ed. note: I'm adding Larry Sabato and his University of Virginia "Crystal Ball"]

These individuals along with every single corporate national media polling outlet, which in turn contributed to -and skewed- the larger aggregate of the Real Clear Politics average of polls, were complicit in their intent to deceive the American electorate in an ideological scheme to manipulate the psyche of the American voter.

There is not a single shred of credibility that should remain with any of the above mentioned polling entities.

They did not make mistakes; they did not operate from the wrong assumptions. These organizations, as part of the larger corporate objectives from those who fund their endeavors, lied. Allowing them to say they made a mistake is only dooming ourselves to the continued cycle of battered electorate syndrome.

These entities are our abusers. They have been gas-lighting the American electorate for years, and have been able to remain unchecked because no-one has ever called them to task before.

Throughout the last two years we have identified and exposed this corrupt endeavor while being ridiculed and marginalized at each undertaking. There should be no quarter provided and no amount of forgiveness ever offered.

The entire construct of their operational business model is corrupt from top to bottom. This moment in history should forever separate their influence from our national political discussion. PERIOD.

It’s not that what these pollsters did was inherently dishonest – they were just feeding the narrative that Hillary Clinton was going to win in a walk – it was just that the lazy mainstream media stopped at the headline and refused to do the work of digging into the numbers to see what they actually meant. Buried in the numbers and the splits by party affiliation (or lack thereof) the data was there that Hillary was in trouble; you just had a uncurious media unwilling to probe more deeply into the numbers. It was much more important in their eyes to push the narrative.

But don’t worry, all you devourers of the crap the mainstream media elitists feed you on a daily basis. As National Review Online’s Peter Kirsanow writes, your media is about to re-discover what “true journalism” is after spending the last eight years puffing up the Obamas:

Beginning as early as today, but definitely by January 20, 2017, the mainstream media will discover a host of problems, dangers, failures, troubles, mistakes, and catastrophes that somehow escaped their attention, or were considered unimportant, during the last eight years under Obama. For example, When jobs numbers come out, nothing less than 250,000 full-time jobs will be considered ”strong.”

A 4.9 percent unemployment rate will be considered almost as disastrous as the 4.2 percent rate under Bush in 2006.

“Real” unemployment will be adjusted once again by the labor force participation rate and will be found to be 9.5 percent, not 4.9 percent.

Crises in the Middle East will be attributed to American bellicosity and maladroit U.S. policy. When Iran acquires a nuclear weapon, it will be because of then-current foreign policy failures.

Adding even twelve cents to the current $20 trillion national debt will be “unpatriotic” and a fiscal catastrophe in the making.

The worst race relations in 50 years will have commenced with, and will be due to, Republican control of the White House and Congress.

Public outrage over health insurance will have commenced with, and will be due to, Republican failure to fix the health care system.

We will learn that 13 million more people than in, oh, 2008, have instantly descended into poverty.

Anything less than 3 percent growth in any quarter will be due to abysmal administration failures.

The Justice Department will be found to have been horribly politicized.

And to that I would add the following: 1) all forms of criticism of the government and the President – even if it turns violent – is the truest form of America’s right to expression; 2) the use of presidential executive orders in any form with be an affront to Congress and the Constitution, and 3) the plight of the homeless living in cardboard boxes and the heart-wrenching stories of their children living in squalor will be the subject of nightly exposes on PBS, NPR, and MSNBC. All as if the past eight years never existed.

Not only is it predictable, it’s entirely predictable. Because that’s what the elitist mainstream media does. Here’s hoping the Trump administration doesn’t forget how badly it was treated during this election cycle by the mainstream media and resists the urge to reach out to it in a gesture of good faith. All it will end up with is a bloody hand.

Filed in: Politics & World Events by The Great White Shank at 00:13 | Comments (0)
November 11, 2016

Because the heart can be oh so heavy… queue it up, George!

“Cheer Down”

I can see by your grin
That you’re trembling within
It’s all over town, cheer down

And the smile on your face
Is sometimes out of place
Don’t mind, no frowns, cheer down.

If your hair should fall
If your shares should crash
You’ll get by even without getting a rash

There’s no tears to be shed
I’m gonna love you instead
I want you around, cheer down.

When your teeth drop out
You’ll get by even without taking a bite

If your dog should be dead
I’m gonna love you instead
The world loves a clown, cheer down.
I want you around, cheer down

Can you imagine the thousands upon thousands of disaffected Republicans and conservatives marching in the streets, burning American flags, and basically just making asses of themselves had Hillary Clinton won the election?

Neither can I.

As Michael Savage famously wrote: liberalism truly is a mental disorder.

Filed in: Politics & World Events by The Great White Shank at 01:26 | Comments (0)
November 10, 2016

Well that turned out to be a long night, didn’t it? Feel much better after a two-hour nap this afternoon. Had a 6 AM call after champagne at whatever godly hour it was when FOX News called the state of Pennsylvania for Trump, sealing his victory. It’s going to fascinating to watch what happens in Washington once the adults get in and kick all the crooks, social-justice warriors and adolescents out. It can’t come soon enough, and you can bet the January 20th festivities will be celebrated in the Richard household. We’ll make ourselves quite a party – heck, I might break out my old black tux to do it up formally!

In the meanwhile, some random thoughts on the biggest upset in American political history, and one of the most important presidential elections we’ll ever see…

If you want to see just how out of touch and out of time the mainstream media are you only need to compare how I spent election night the last three presidential election cycles. In 2008, it was in front of the TV watching FOX News. In 2012 it was at the PowerLine and National Review Online Corner blogs monitoring their real-time feeds from their own correspondents. Last night I spent it on
Styxhexenhammer666′s YouTube channel, watching him do all the election monitoring and calling things as he sees them. I had heard of his channel from someone at the Conservative Treehouse blog (where I occasionally comment), and I wasn’t disappointed. The guy knew his stuff and had a refreshing way of cutting through all the bullshit over on the cable networks with his running commentary and responses to his YouTube channel followers. I had FOX News on in the other room, and the difference between the styles might as well have been the difference between driving a Maserati and a Model T. His technology and way of communicating pointed to the future, FOX News seemed dated and obsolete by comparison.

Speaking of FOX News, what a terrible performance for election night. Their sets and graphics were terrible and confusing (at least compared to CNN for what little I saw). Brett Baier was, as usual, a competent and informed professional, but the rest of them – most especially Megyn Kelly, Karl Rove, and Juan Williams – were beyond pathetic. Kelly’s star has really lost its shine, and the rest of them came across as nothing but anti-Trump shills all night. For example, thanks to Styxhexenhammer666, I knew before midnight EST that Trump had the votes needed in the right counties to take both Pennsylvania and Michigan, that he was going to just barely lose NH, VA, and MN, and would be the next President. Like I say, the man knew his stuff.

I guess we all now know what that mysterious blue state was I predicted before the election. It was, of course, Wisconsin. My AZ GOP contact had that one in mind when I first spoke to him weeks ago, but everyone – and I do mean everyone – he spoke to had to promise not to reveal it for fear the Clinton campaign would suddenly get the fever to make a visit or two before the election. The GOP had a serious psy-ops effort going there in the weeks leading up to the election led by Paul Ryan and Reince Priebus. Why Clinton never visited WI won’t be a mystery for long because there will be volumes coming out about not just how lousy a candidate Hillary Clinton ended up being (no surprise there) but how poorly-managed her overall campaign was.

The car comparison above works as well with the way the Clinton and Trump campaigns were managed. Think about it: as Michael Wolff writes in this Hollywood Reporter column:

Ads don’t work, polls don’t work, celebrities don’t work, media endorsements don’t work and ground games don’t work.

The media turned itself into the opposition and, accordingly, was voted down as the new political reality emerged: Ads don’t work, polls don’t work, celebrities don’t work, media endorsements don’t work, ground games don’t work.

…And then there was the wholesale destruction of what is perhaps the most important media assumption: that advertising matters. A not inconsiderable portion of the profitability of most media companies comes from the extra many billions of dollars that’s poured into local television every four years. Clinton spent the usual quota (buying, for instance, almost 80 percent of the more than 120,000 campaigns ads during the general election in Florida), Trump only a fraction thereof, redefining not only how to run for office, but the symbiotic relationship of the media to politics.

The irony is too painful: Trump the media candidate turns on the media. The flat-footed media became for the nimble Trump his punching bag and foil (while all the time the media assumed Trump was the flat-footed one). It gave him his singular, galvanizing and personalized issue — it’s the media, stupid.

As it turned out, the massive Trump rallies ridiculed by the mainstream media throughout the campaign had an energizing effect on social media, and vice-versa. Trump’s ability to out-hustle Clinton on the stump, repeatedly and strategically, put the right folks in the right states in the voting booth at the right time. If indeed Clinton won the popular vote (something I don’t believe because of the massive voting fraud operation that will come out eventually), she won the battle but the Trump campaign won the war. I tried to tell my Goodboys buds what was truly happening when I was back in Massachusetts last week, but they wouldn’t listen – no surprise there, no one listens to The Great White Shank. They bought the conventional wisdom being spewed out daily by a conventional media that was unable (or unwilling) to see the seismic change taking place around them.

As I alluded to in my last post, watch what happens to the Democratic Party in the coming weeks, months, and even years. The mainstream media would have you believe it was the Republican Party that was ready to crack up (and, had Trump lost, it very well might have), but it’s the Dems who are about to leash a circular firing squad the likes of which you’ve never seen before, and personally, it will be a joy to behold. Many will want to point fingers at the Clintons, of course – and rightly so for her being yet again such a terrible candidate – but the fact is the Clintons are nothing more than a by-product of a political party that is nothing more than a corrupt, reckless, and lawless criminal enterprise from the bottom up. The entire Democratic Party establishment and its relationships with Big Media, Big Money, and Big Power has been revealed as a cancer eating away at every American institution, and it needs to be destroyed.

Jim Newell’s column at Slate is also a must-read, as much for Democrats as it is for anyone interested in politics, for he paints a truly bleak picture of what the Democratic Party has become:

The Democratic Party establishment has beclowned itself and is finished.

I think of the lawmakers, the consultants, the operatives, and—yes—the center-left media, and how everything said over the past few years leading up to this night was bullshit.

The midterm losses? That was just a bad cycle, structurally speaking; presidential demographics would make up for it. The party establishment made a grievous mistake rallying around Hillary Clinton. It wasn’t just a lack of recent political seasoning. She was a bad candidate, with no message beyond heckling the opposite sideline. She was a total misfit for both the politics of 2016 and the energy of the Democratic Party as currently constituted. She could not escape her baggage, and she must own that failure herself.

And it’s not just in Washington where the Democrats have destroyed themselves: look across the political landscape where Democrats are becoming an increasingly-endangered species when it comes to governorships and state legislatures, even in so-called “blue” states. The American political map is getting redder and redder, leaving fewer and fewer truly blue states. And those states, like Massachusetts, are nothing cesspools of egregious corruption at all levels, suffocating taxation, and over-regulation. The Democratic Party is dying a slow and agonizing death, and its a story no one in the mainstream media has the guts to report.

As for the Clintons themselves, this election ought be the end for one of the most vile and corrupt political families in American history. Roy McAvoy in Tin Cup said that when a defining moment comes, either you define the moment or the moment defines you. To which his caddy Romeo replied, “That may very well be true, Roy, but in your case the moment was shit.” Last night was the Clinton’s defining moment, and it was shit. And rightly so, because, between Clinton’s tenure at Secretary of State, the e-mails, the Clinton Foundation and all the graft, the money, and the pay for play it was the Clintons who took a collective dump on the American political system and its rule of law, solely for their own personal advantage. And who in the end do they blame? Everyone but themselves. They are a vile, disgusting, soulless bunch who ought to be condemned to the far-reaches of hell. But I’d settle for jail.

One final note: so much for the Barack Obama legacy. The only reason he ever got voted in to begin with was because of his skin color. Alternatively, the mainstream media would have you believe that it was Hillary’s gender that prevented her from becoming President. No. It was the fact that the woman running for President was a terrible candidate, a vile, hateful, corrupt, bitchy, and shrill Washington elitist, lacking in both warmth, personality, and substance. That, my liberal friends, is why she lost. For the second time Hillary saw this as her right to be the candidate for President – everyone else, the Democratic Party, and the country be damned.

More coming in the days ahead.

Filed in: Politics & World Events by The Great White Shank at 02:54 | Comments (0)
November 9, 2016

It was a heckuva lot closer than even I expected it to be, but a win is a win, and I’ll take it any way I can get it.

Queue the music.

Just wait until Hillary, Chelsea, and Bill see the shitstorm of abuse, anger, and criticism about to descend on them over the next few days. After all, there’s nothing like a bunch of happy, gentle, tolerant liberals when it comes to losing. They’ll destroy them.

Filed in: Politics & World Events by The Great White Shank at 02:05 | Comments (2)
November 8, 2016

What to do? What to do? Normally, these kinds of things come down to heart vs. head kind of thing, but this election cycle is unlike anything anyone has seen since, oh, perhaps, Reagan in 1980. In my view, it might be even more so than that: after all, Jimmy Carter was just an incompetent running against a former actor who actually had experience in politics, whereas Hillary Clinton is an entrenched, corrupt, and evil Washington pol with no business running for President against a coarse, blunt, businessman with no political experience whatsoever.

Look, I can respect the differences between political parties and voting one’s conscience and political interests, but Hillary Clinton has sold this country and its interests down the pike all for the purposes of financial gain. She and husband Bill are political grifters of the highest magnitude, and the fact that Democrats have made her their presidential candidate shows just how morally bankrupt that party has gone under the likes of Debbie Wasserman-Schultz.

But it’s much more than that.

I can respect people who vote for who they see as the better candidate. But I have no respect whatsoever for anyone who would vote for someone who not only should be in prison for her e-mail shenanigans and turning the State Department into her own personal “pay for play” money-laundering operation, but someone with the blood of brave Americans on her hands – someone so evil, so vile, and so empty in her soul that she could straight-faced lie to the faces of those whose loved ones died in Benghazi all for the sake of political cover. She should rot in hell, and I pray she does.

Excuse me, if you will, for these strident tones, but I really do see this election as one about, if not good vs. evil, then at least one not evil vs. evil. Last I checked, Donald Trump didn’t vote to send any soldier to Iraq, didn’t cast a vote either for or against Obamacare, didn’t vote for or against anything, for that matter. And in that regard, to think that he could be any worse than Hillary Clinton in a White House with husband Bill shaking down foreign leaders for presidential favors and Chelsea greasing the skids for some choice Senate seat to ensure another generation of Clinton graft ought to be sufficient reason enough to warrant a vote for Trump, or, at the very least, no vote at all.

But I digress. After all, I promised y’all predictions, and predictions you shall have.

There are two minds at work here. First of all, you have two veterans at the election projections wars, and Nate Silver, each predicting a pretty solid Clinton victory. I’ve respected their work in the past and it would be foolish to not take them into consideration. Anyone who does (at least in my mind) does so at their own peril.

On the other hand, I have my so-called “guy” high up in the AZ GOP party structure who has contacts (if he is to be believed) at the highest levels of the Trump campaign, and this relative newcomer to the polling analysis wars. While he/she is a supporter of Trump, his/her website has fairly closely reflected the ups and downs of Trump’s fortunes during the election cycle, and even a month ago had Trump’s campaign sagging, albeit not as much as the so-called “mainstream” pollsters.

I think – and this has always been the case in this election cycle – that the pollsters are missing a significant demographic in the American voting populace. Not because they want to, but because they can’t. It doesn’t take a genius to recognize that the political environment in 2016 has become toxic and – in the case of Democrats and liberals – vindictive to the point of neo-fascism. It’s not Trump supporters stealing Clinton signs from back yards. It’s not Trump supporters fire-bombing Democratic political headquarters, or vandalizing cars, or committing acts of physical violence against supporters of the other candidate. It is Democrats and liberals. And some might shrug it off and say that both sides do it, or that there are radicals or reactionaries on both sides, but last time I checked it wasn’t Trump supporters doing these things and blocking highways and forcing the other candidate’s rallies to be cancelled under threats of violence. It’s the so-called tolerant and accepting liberals and supporters of Hillary Clinton. In this environment you’d have to be nuts to tell anyone you’re supporting Trump. You could lose your job, lose your family, lose your friends. After all, the mainstream media has been feeding almost from day one the narrative that if you’re a Trump supporter you’re obviously a racist, sexist, homophobe, or xenophobe. Who in their right mind, in such an environment, would open themselves to that kind of abuse?

The other thing is relying on pollsters who have consistently over-polled Democrats and their participation from the start. Does anyone truly think that Hillary Clinton has the same kind of emotional tug as Barack Obama did in 2008 and 2012? Does anyone really think African-Americans will come out in droves to support Hillary as they did Obama? Of course not.

My guy in AZ politics says the election has been a Trump +6 race since Labor Day and nothing – not the debates, not WikiLeaks, not Hillary’s e-mail woes – has changed it since. He also doesn’t think there are as many undecideds as the media has portrayed. He thinks the polls showing 12-point or six-point swings in their polls over a span of weeks are a joke, created solely for a hungry media desperate to portray this election as nothing more than a horse-race between personalities and nothing about substance. His view (as is mine) is that substance is everything when you have a change election as this one is. People either like the way things are going and choose to stay with the party in power, or reject the way things are and vote for a change.

I believe Nate Silver and the folks at ElectionProjection rely too much on pollsters who aren’t willing to take this dynamic into account. Therefore, I’m going with Trump winning overall 48-44 percent, with somewhere around 310 electrical votes (he takes OH, FL, PA, MI and one or two states no one saw coming). I think the Republicans hold both the Senate and the House, and I think there will be a lot of mainstream media folks forced to look at themselves and the pathetic excuse for what has become journalism in this election cycle. The mainstream media is a joke, and a dangerous one at that. But their ability to influence minds like they could even four years ago has been replaced by a social media the sees through the bias.

Of course I might be wrong and if I am that’s OK – I can handle it. But for the sake of this country and its future I sure hope not.

Filed in: Politics & World Events by The Great White Shank at 02:59 | Comments (2)
November 7, 2016

Great to be back in the Valley of the Sun after ten days in Massachusetts, where you could really feel the seasons beginning to change, and not for the better. There were actually some snow flurries in the air on early Saturday morning! Back here the change to what they call “Arizona winter” was heralded in by a day of soaking rain, which is always appreciated around here. The days are now firmly in the 80s, the nights dropping down into the low 60s or high 50s. I haven’t had a chance to check my pool yet but I doubt it’s at the 76-degree mark it was when I left here.

Nothing like hanging out with my peeps in Massachusetts to make me realize just how much it is enemy territory politics-wise. The Trump haters may be a loud and obnoxious bunch, but, hey, they don’t call it the “People’s Republic” for nothing. Personally, I’m going to go out on a limb here and say I think there are a lot of Trump voters both there and in southern New Hampshire, but they’re keeping their yaps shut and will do the right thing when the enter the voting booth with no one around. And they’ll be the first ones expressing surprise and dismay to their family and friends if Trump were to win. After all, no one likes to be called an idiot, bigot, homophobe, xenophobe, racist or sexist – it’s not worth it. But that’s part and parcel if you’re not a liberal Democrat in Massachusetts. I was surprised to see a number of cars with Trump stickers on them (during my time driving around I counted 22 Trump stickers, 1 Hillary sticker, and 8 Obama-Biden 2012 stickers); they’re really taking chances having their cars vandalized.

Me, I just don’t get it. Trump’s supposed to be the wacko lunatic running, but it’s those tolerant, accepting liberals who are freaking out and vandalizing Trump supporters and stealing Trump signs. Not that I’m surprised: liberals are the most intolerant people on the face of the earth. Makes you wonder what they’re afraid of.

No matter whether it’s Hillary or Donald, one thing is refreshingly clear: in barely over two month’s time we’ll be rid of Barack Obama and his mooching, catty wife. They’re going to have to fumigate the White House from top to bottom, I can tell you that. Those two are a cancer and the sooner they are gone the better.

And boy oh boy, once the election is over it’s going to be a mad scramble to the holidays. I’ve got so much house-cleaning to do ahead of Thanksgiving it’s not funny.

The World Series was as good as it gets this year – congratulations to the Cubs for breaking their own curse. And it was fun watching the Series with my Dad. I’m really proud of him with everything he’s been through this year.

We now enter the “hot stove” season, and I’ve got only one thing to say to the Red Sox. Do not – I repeat, do NOT – tell me I have to look forward to a 2017 with Pablo “Fat Pig” Sandoval as the third base replacement for Travis Shaw. That would really suck.

And it’s hard to believe we’re a little over six weeks away from turning the calendar. Going through my Mom’s illness and passing it’s been a lousy, miserable, sad, and depressing year. Not to mention expensive. And not even the happy pineapple lights on the patio and a chilled glass of Pinot Grigio can permeate the gloom I feel. Life goes on, however, and all you can do is work your way through it. We’ll put the tree up and all that but it’s gonna be one lean Christmas around here. If it were up to me I’d bag the whole thing and bide my time until flipping the calendar and starting anew.

There will be better times ahead, I hope. But for now I’ll just report back in and crank the blog back up.

Election predictions on the next post.

Filed in: Uncategorized by The Great White Shank at 17:30 | Comments (0)
October 30, 2016

[Ed. note: with everything going on I forgot to upload this post on October 30. So I'm back-posting...]

It took a little bit of doing (the promise of beers the next time we play Stonecreek Golf Club would do), but I was able to talk to the guy I referred to in my last “State of the Race” post a second time. One might note that his prediction about Hillary pulling out of the final debate was off, and Trump’s tax returns still haven’t been released (something he’s still sticking with, BTW), but his prediction about African-American voters appears to be spot on. We talked about the state of the race only ten days out from Election Day, and here are the highlights:

1. His sense is that Trump is still holding a +6 lead nationwide, and that in the end he’s gonna come in somewhere around 49% of the vote and Hillary Clinton around 43%.

2. He notes that while the polls appear to be tightening somewhat in Trump’s favor, most of the media polls are still heavily oversampling Democrats over Republicans (anywhere from 5 to 15 percent) but that will change in the next week if the pollsters want to have any credibility come Election Day. He things in the end it will be anywhere whom an even D/R split to at best a D+2.

3. If you want to know where the campaigns think the race stands watch the candidates, where they’re going, and the venues they are choosing. He notes the Trump campaign is totally focused on Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Ohio, but he expects that to change in the next week as he believe Florida and Ohio are solidly Trump and Trump may expand his map to places like New Hampshire and Michigan. The Clinton campaign remains (at least to him) a total mystery: “Trump is filling convention centers and they’re having trouble filling anything larger than a gym. The candidate is deliberately choosing low-profile events and relying on surrogates like Barack and Michelle Obama to do her work. Either her campaign is overwhelmingly confident – hard to believe if they’re looking at the same polls I am- or they’re living in their own self-made bubble. I don’t get it. I think she’s getting lousy advice.”

4. Ten days is still a lot of time – an eternity, really – and a lot could happen in that time. But right now I’m saying that, just like every other time during this election season, the Trump campaign is turning conventional wisdom on its head. All things staying equal, it still looks really good for Trump.

Filed in: Politics & World Events by The Great White Shank at 17:03 | Comments (0)
October 26, 2016

….courtesy of – believe it or not – Michael Moore.

He’s not voting for Trump, mind you, but he’s nailed this election for sure. He explains why the great unwashed (and the great in-polled) out there are voting for Trump, why the polls (at least for now) aren’t showing the Trump vote, but why it’s 100% gonna happen, baby.

Thank you, Michael, for saying it better than I could ever say.

Filed in: Politics & World Events by The Great White Shank at 17:09 | Comments (0)
October 25, 2016

Apologies for the lack of posting, lots going on here with work and other stuff. I know I’ve been bad, hope to catch up on things over the next day or so with a special “state of the race” update. Hopefully, “my guy” in AZ politics will let me talk with him for a few minutes tomorrow!

Oh, my World Series prediction? Cubs in 6. Theo does it again, and as a result he’s already punched his ticket to the Hall of Fame.

You want to know why more people than you could ever imagine are going to vote for Donald Trump? Scott Adams of “Dilbert” fame tells you why:

I’ve been trying to figure out what common trait binds Clinton supporters together. As far as I can tell, the most unifying characteristic is a willingness to bully in all its forms.

If you have a Trump sign in your lawn, they will steal it.

If you have a Trump bumper sticker, they will deface your car.

if you speak of Trump at work you could get fired.

On social media, almost every message I get from a Clinton supporter is a bullying type of message. They insult. They try to shame. They label. And obviously they threaten my livelihood.

We know from Project Veritas that Clinton supporters tried to incite violence at Trump rallies. The media downplays it.

Yes, yes, I realize Trump supporters say bad things about Clinton supporters too. I don’t defend the bad apples on either side. I’ll just point out that Trump’s message is about uniting all Americans under one flag. The Clinton message is that some Americans are good people and the other 40% are some form of deplorables, deserving of shame, vandalism, punishing taxation, and violence. She has literally turned Americans on each other. It is hard for me to imagine a worse thing for a presidential candidate to do.

I’ll say that again.

As far as I can tell, the worst thing a presidential candidate can do is turn Americans against each other. Clinton is doing that, intentionally.

You can mock Trump all you want (and I know friends and family members who do) but nothing speaks more about the heart of a candidate than how they communicate to their supporters. With Hillary, it’s “I’m with Her.” With Trump it’s “I’m with You.”

I’m sick of the divisiveness Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, and the Democrats have inflicted on this country the past eight years. I’m sick of the playing one group against another. I’m sick of the in-your-face lies, deceptions, and corruption. And I’m sick of the Republicans who are so afraid of the mainstream media and losing their power and influence that they do nothing in the face of it. We are all Americans. Maybe we deserve what we get as far as our national leadership goes, but I’d like to think we’re better than that as a people. And it’s about time we had a candidate who sees us that way.

Make America Great Again!

Filed in: Uncategorized by The Great White Shank at 23:36 | Comments (0)


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