May 6, 2020

Kudos to Alex Berensen for this set of tweets which serves as a perfect partner to my Monday post. Here are just a few in his series:

4/ In almost every state, between 50% and 80% of all deaths are of people in long-term care facilities. That fact affects hospitalizations because many of those people die so quickly they aren’t being hospitalized…

5/ But even more importantly, governors and public health officials are so busy scaring Karens that they ARE NOT DOING THEIR JOBS AND FOCUSING ON PROTECTING THE MOST VULNERABLE. Every nursing home should have state surveyors visiting every day…

6/ Every nursing home/long-term care facility should be at the highest priority for staff testing, and arguably testing should be required at least weekly. Every nursing home should have protocols so staff who see COVID residents are kept from non-COVID residents…

7/ No doubt experts in nursing home care and nosocomial infection prevention have lots of other smart suggestions. THIS IS WHERE WE SHOULD BE FOCUSING OUR TIME AND ENERGY. Instead we are engaged in an unimaginably expensive and destructive game of public health theater.

It has become increasingly clear to anyone with a brain (that excludes the mainstream media, BTW) that the COVID-19 virus has been most primarily lethal to a relatively small and focused population: our nation’s nursing homes and long-term care facilities. Which is why, increasingly, the current strategy of full-scale “lock-downs’ of states makes little sense and increasing focus needs to be getting our economy back on track for the good of everyone concerned. While the Democrats and their political operatives in the mainstream media love to portray this as an “all or nothing” approach (and their view would be nothing, the better to leave our economy in ashes) anyone with a brain can see we as Americans can, after all, walk and chew gum at the same time.

Unlike the talking heads on the cable news networks, I’m not going to finger-point at anyone – most especially the governors of New York, New Jersey, Illinois, Washington, and California – on this; most assuredly they have all made grievous mistakes that have contributed greatly to the number of deaths in their states’ nursing homes, but the fact remains they, and everyone else, were relying on experts’ models as a guideline in the absence of precious little actual data – models that have turned out to be wildly inaccurate in every sense.

That being said, the fact remains that COVID-19 deaths have been heavily weighted towards “blue” states, and, as David Catron writes in The American Spectator, not without justification:

There is only one reliable metric that reveals how likely you are to die from COVID-19 in a given state, and it isn’t what you’re seeing in the legacy media.

…A far more predictive metric is “death rate per million.” Why? Testing is far more consistent for fatal cases. By this measurement, you are probably more likely to die from Coronavirus if you live in a blue state rather than one of its scarlet counterparts.

If you live in New Jersey, you are 13 times more likely to die from COVID-19 than if you live in Florida. The Garden State’s death rate per million is 895.2, according to the RealClearPolitics Coronavirus tracker, compared to only 65.1 deaths per million for Florida. This disparity can’t be written off to demography or testing. Florida has a huge elderly population, and it has conducted twice as many tests as New Jersey.

…red states that refused to issue any stay-at-home orders at all have experienced even fewer Coronavirus deaths per million than Florida: Arkansas (26.5), Iowa (59.6), Oklahoma (60.1), Nebraska (40.3), Utah (15.6), North Dakota (32.8), South Dakota (23.7), and Wyoming (12.1).

How have the blue states that [Florida governor Ron] DeSantis singled out …fared? Not so well. The District of Columbia has a death rate per million of 365.6. Maryland’s fatality per million is 217.8. New Jersey, as discussed above, clocks in at 895.2 per million. New York is by far the worst in the nation with a fatality rate of 1,282.2 per million. Connecticut has a death rate per million of 716.9. Massachusetts is at 588.5 deaths per million. And there is Michigan, of course, where Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s lockdown has produced a death rate of 414.0 per million.

This is not to say absolutely that being a “red” or “blue” state is the determinant factor – other factors include population density, use and reliance on mass transportation, and the % of African-Americans in those states (the African-American community having been hit very hard as well) – but what Catron’s column (at least in my opinion) alludes to is the great disservice “blue state” public health organizations have done to their residents in their greatest time of need. And my guess (actually it’s not a guess at all) is that the public health organizations in these states (and in addition to the above I will add Massachusetts), much like the rest of the state government apparatus, has always been a cesspool of corruption, mismanagement, and patronage.

I have zero doubt that it will be seen that, not only were these states’ public health organizations not on the ball, they didn’t even know what game they were supposed to be participating in. Here is what I would like to know: prior to COVID-19, what were budgets for these states’ public health organizations? How much administrative overhead was there? What were their primary areas of focus? I think it’s pretty clear none of the above had to do with preparing for a public health emergency like a COVID-19. But go ahead, Democrats, liberals, and you loons in the mainstream media: blame President Trump for your own reckless incompetence and malfeasance. The liberal left can accuse President Trump of having blood on his hands all they want: when the final review of how this pandemic was handled at both the federal and state levels, it will be these “blue state” public health officials whose hands are dripping in the blood of the most vulnerable trusted to their care. How these officials can sleep at night is beyond me.

Filed in: Politics & World Events by The Great White Shank at 01:36 | Comments Off on Truth(s) And Consequences
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