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In less than 24 hours we’ll know whether or or not Republican Scott Brown has been able to pull off what would truly be a miracle, knocking off state Attorney General and entrenched Democrat party sock-puppet Martha Coakley in the special election for Ted Kennedy’s old Senate seat.
When you think about it, there’s absolutely no reason in the world why this should even be a race. After all, no one in the political world knew who the hell Scott Brown was two weeks ago, but you add equal parts an aloof, tone-deaf candidate, a health care reform bill that few in Massachusetts want (why would they, after all, they already have state-mandated health care?), and a fresh-faced candidate somehow able to plug in to the general unease everyone feels regarding the economy and what on God’s green earth the Democrats are doing with health care reform behind closed doors when they oughta be concerned about unemployment and ballooning deficit spending, and suddenly you have yourself a horse race for the Senate in one of the bluest of blue states.
Can Brown pull off an upset? I know what the some of the latest polls are saying, but having spent a great deal of my life in the Bay State, I know full well the way the Democratic Party establishment works there. They are powerful and a force not to be strifled with. Therefore, as much as I’d love-love-love to see a Brown win, I have a hunch Coakley’s going to find a way to pull it out by 2-3 points.
But don’t take it from me. Hell, I picked the Cowboys and the Chargers last weekend. I hope I’m wrong here – after all, this is a woman who is politically tone-deaf, ethically-challenged, and generally (some might say, criminally) incompetent in the way she has handled her office and role as Middlesex County DA and state Attorney General over the years – but any Republican in Massachusetts, no matter how much he or she might have the suppot of unenrolleds, has an uphill battle to be sure.
Just the fact that Brown is this close to pulling off an upset is a victory all in itself – after all, he has forced the Dems and their liberal fundraising establishment across the country to part with their precious brass to defend a seat they really should never have had to worry about, in an election year where Democratic incumbents are going to need all the financial help they can get.
If Coakley wins the Dems will let out a huge sigh of relief knowing they dodged themselves some serious lead; if Brown pulls off an upset, it will truly be a “Scott heard around the world”. Me, I’d love to see that.
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Pool temp: 51
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